Análisis Köln vs Mainz 05
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.64
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
8.1%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 1979 |
BVB
3 - 1
KOL
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
MUN
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1979 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1979 |
STU
1 - 4
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 1977 |
M05
1 - 4
HSV
24%
22%
53%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 1977 |
M05
7 - 1
HZE
84%
9%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1976 |
KFC
3 - 0
M05
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1976 |
M05
3 - 0
AND
85%
9%
6%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |