Análisis Köln vs MSV Duisburg
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2012 |
WWO
0 - 0
KOL
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2012 |
KOL
3 - 3
KAI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
SSV
2 - 3
KOL
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGD
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 2
FSV
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2012 |
KSC
1 - 0
MSV
45%
24%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2012 |
SVS
0 - 2
MSV
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 2
ING
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
COT
0 - 1
MSV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |