2. Bundesliga Jor. 20

Análisis Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue

Union Berlin Erzgebirge Aue
69 ELO 63
-8% Tilt -9.3%
70º Ranking ELO general 1275º
13º Ranking ELO país 61º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
51.6%
Union Berlin
25.2%
Empate
23.2%
Erzgebirge Aue

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Union Berlin
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Erzgebirge Aue
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Union Berlin
+5%
-3%
Erzgebirge Aue

Progresión del ELO

Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 feb. 2004
COT
Energie Cottbus
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
61%
22%
17%
68 74 6 0
01 feb. 2004
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
32%
27%
42%
68 76 8 0
17 dic. 2003
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 2
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
49%
25%
26%
70 67 3 -2
14 dic. 2003
KSC
Karlsruher SC
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
39%
28%
34%
70 65 5 0
07 dic. 2003
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 2
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
52%
24%
24%
71 65 6 -1

Partidos

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 feb. 2004
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Eintracht Trier
EIN
43%
26%
31%
64 64 0 0
01 feb. 2004
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
54%
24%
23%
64 66 2 0
17 dic. 2003
UNT
Unterhaching
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
65%
21%
15%
63 72 9 +1
14 dic. 2003
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
32%
25%
43%
63 69 6 0
05 dic. 2003
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
63 70 7 0