Análisis 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 1
VFR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2015 |
SGF
0 - 3
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 3
SVS
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2015 |
ING
1 - 1
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
Partidos
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGF
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
VFR
3 - 0
ERZ
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 1
DAR
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |