Análisis 3 de Febrero vs 12 de Octubre
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2014 |
RÑU
3 - 1
12O
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
12O
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |