Análisis 3 de Febrero vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
SAN
4 - 2
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 3
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
54%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |