Análisis 3 de Febrero vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 4
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 4
TAC
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
CCP
4 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 1
LQE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIB
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
CCP
4 - 3
NAC
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |