Análisis 4 de Julho vs Caiçara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.61
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2005 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
45%
23%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 0
CAC
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAI
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
CAC
1 - 1
CAI
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
CAI
0 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2005 |
OEI
1 - 0
CAI
48%
22%
29%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
CAI
3 - 1
FLA
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |