Análisis 4 de Julho vs Parnahyba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-35%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
60%
21%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 0
CAC
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
CEA
3 - 2
4DE
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
OEI
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
CAI
0 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLA
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 3
PIA
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |