Análisis Tolentino vs Nereto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.95
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
UST
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2021 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2021 |
REC
0 - 4
UST
69%
16%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
FAN
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2021 |
NER
2 - 3
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
NER
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
CHI
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NER
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |