Análisis Portuguesa vs Atlético Sorocaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 2
COR
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |