Análisis Portuguesa vs Ceará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 jul. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 jul. 2005 |
POR
3 - 0
CRB
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 jun. 2005 |
CAX
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2005 |
CAX
2 - 1
CEA
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 jul. 2005 |
CEA
1 - 1
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2005 |
ANA
0 - 1
CEA
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2005 |
CEA
3 - 4
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |