Análisis Portuguesa vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 1
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |