Análisis Portuguesa vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
POR
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
ABC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 abr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOA
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 may. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |