Análisis Portuguesa vs Guaratinguetá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
ULB
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
COR
1 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
GUA
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
PPE
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |