Análisis Portuguesa vs EC Juventude
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2009 |
POR
4 - 3
GUA
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
VAS
21%
24%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
IFC
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 2
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 jul. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
FFL
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |