Análisis Portuguesa vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 2
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1986 |
POR
2 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1986 |
COM
1 - 1
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1986 |
ATP
2 - 1
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
SAN
5 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |