Análisis Portuguesa vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2003 |
AME
2 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2003 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2003 |
CAX
0 - 4
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2003 |
AVA
1 - 1
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |