Análisis Portuguesa vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 3
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2005 |
POR
4 - 2
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
CAX
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |