Análisis Portuguesa vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 3
SAN
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
GAM
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 0
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 2
COT
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
REM
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |