Análisis Portuguesa vs XV de Piracicaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
34%
24%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
XVD
0 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 2
XVD
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
OES
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |