Análisis AA Alvorada vs Tocantinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 5
GUR
33%
24%
44%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2005 |
TOC
4 - 0
AAA
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
AAA
3 - 1
INT
32%
24%
45%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +7 |
| 26 feb. 1998 |
ATM
7 - 0
AAA
96%
3%
0%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 1998 |
AAA
1 - 2
ATM
3%
15%
83%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
Partidos
Tocantinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2005 |
CAT
5 - 4
ARA
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2005 |
INT
1 - 1
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 3
CEC
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |