Tocantinense Jor. 3

Análisis AA Alvorada vs Gurupi

AA Alvorada Gurupi
29 ELO 36
2.7% Tilt 5.1%
30990º Ranking ELO general 11190º
980º Ranking ELO país 452º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
38.5%
AA Alvorada
24.5%
Empate
37%
Gurupi

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
AA Alvorada
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37%
Probabilidad de victoria
Gurupi
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
AA Alvorada
+31%
-46%
Gurupi

Progresión del ELO

AA Alvorada
Gurupi
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

AA Alvorada
AA Alvorada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 may. 2008
TOC
Tocantins
2 - 1
AA Alvorada
AAA
45%
23%
32%
28 25 3 0
01 may. 2008
AAA
AA Alvorada
3 - 1
Kabure EC
KEC
59%
21%
21%
27 24 3 +1
26 abr. 2008
GUR
Gurupi
2 - 1
AA Alvorada
AAA
64%
19%
17%
27 37 10 0
21 abr. 2008
AAA
AA Alvorada
4 - 0
Juventude TO
JEC
50%
23%
27%
26 27 1 +1
16 abr. 2008
PAL
Palmas FR
5 - 1
AA Alvorada
AAA
66%
19%
15%
27 38 11 -1

Partidos

Gurupi
Gurupi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 may. 2008
KEC
Kabure EC
0 - 0
Gurupi
GUR
28%
25%
47%
37 23 14 0
01 may. 2008
GUR
Gurupi
1 - 0
Tocantins
TOC
68%
18%
14%
37 26 11 0
26 abr. 2008
GUR
Gurupi
2 - 1
AA Alvorada
AAA
64%
19%
17%
37 27 10 0
19 abr. 2008
IPO
Ipiranga TO
1 - 2
Gurupi
GUR
36%
25%
39%
36 27 9 +1
16 abr. 2008
PAR
Paraíso EC
1 - 2
Gurupi
GUR
34%
25%
41%
36 25 11 0