Análisis ABC vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
ABC
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 5
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
PAR
71%
18%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2011 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
POR
3 - 3
ICA
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
POR
18%
24%
59%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |