Serie D - Brasil Ronda final Semifinal
Global 3-4
Análisis ABC vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
ABC
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2021 |
APA
4 - 2
ABC
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2021 |
ABC
4 - 2
JAC
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 oct. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2021 |
APA
4 - 2
ABC
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
UBE
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2021 |
UBE
0 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
CIA
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
APA
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |