Análisis ABC vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 3
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 ago. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 4
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAH
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |