Análisis ABC vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
AME
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1972 |
SER
0 - 1
ABC
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1972 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1972 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1972 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1972 |
SAO
0 - 3
FLU
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1972 |
FLU
2 - 2
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |