Análisis ABC vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 1998 |
ABC
1 - 4
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1996 |
ABC
0 - 4
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 0
ABC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1995 |
ABC
1 - 2
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 1994 |
VAS
1 - 1
ABC
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1998 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |