Análisis ABC vs Santa Cruz RN
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2011 |
ABC
4 - 1
COR
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 1
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2011 |
ABC
4 - 0
CCP
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
ABC
21%
23%
57%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
ALE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |