Análisis ABC vs Volta Redonda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1976 |
ABC
2 - 4
SAN
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 0
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1976 |
FLA
4 - 0
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 0
VOL
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 2
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |