Liga Suiza Playoff Descenso Jor. 5

Análisis AC Bellinzona vs Aarau

AC Bellinzona Aarau
70 ELO 71
9.5% Tilt 6.8%
1636º Ranking ELO general 719º
20º Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
48.9%
AC Bellinzona
24.1%
Empate
27.1%
Aarau

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
AC Bellinzona
1.68
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
AC Bellinzona
-5%
+5%
Aarau

Progresión del ELO

AC Bellinzona
Aarau
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

AC Bellinzona
AC Bellinzona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 abr. 2000
BAD
Baden
0 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
38%
26%
37%
70 64 6 0
26 mar. 2000
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
44%
26%
30%
70 76 6 0
18 mar. 2000
ZUR
Zurich
4 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
64%
21%
15%
70 82 12 0
12 mar. 2000
BEL
AC Bellinzona
2 - 0
Sion
SIO
38%
25%
37%
69 76 7 +1
04 mar. 2000
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 4
Lausanne Sports
LAU
28%
24%
49%
69 83 14 0

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 abr. 2000
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 2
Aarau
FCA
56%
24%
21%
72 76 4 0
26 mar. 2000
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Baden
BAD
66%
21%
14%
71 64 7 +1
19 mar. 2000
SIO
Sion
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
53%
24%
22%
72 76 4 -1
12 mar. 2000
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
71 81 10 +1
12 dic. 1999
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
62%
21%
17%
70 77 7 +1