Análisis AC Bellinzona vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2001 |
WIL
5 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 2
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2001 |
WIN
3 - 1
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 may. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2001 |
NEX
2 - 0
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2001 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2001 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIN
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |