Análisis Cesena vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
CES
2 - 1
ARZ
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2005 |
PES
2 - 1
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 2
TRI
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |