Análisis Cesena vs Padova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
27%
30%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 2
CES
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2001 |
CES
3 - 0
ARZ
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 0
ALV
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2001 |
ASL
3 - 2
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2001 |
ASS
3 - 1
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |