Análisis Cesena vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
27%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
BRI
69%
21%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1973 |
USF
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
FCC
53%
28%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
59%
26%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
62%
25%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 0
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
60%
26%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 1973 |
COM
0 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |