Análisis Cesena vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
17%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.4%
Win probability
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2015 |
CES
5 - 1
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
LAT
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 3
BRE
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 4
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |