Análisis Cesena vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
29.2%
Empate
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 1986 |
TRI
3 - 0
CES
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
CES
42%
33%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
VIC
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
48%
31%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIS
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |