Análisis Cesena vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 1
CES
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2007 |
RIM
4 - 1
CES
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2007 |
ASC
5 - 2
CES
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 1
RAV
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 3
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |