Análisis Cesena vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1992 |
COS
1 - 1
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1992 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1992 |
PIA
0 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 3
BAR
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1992 |
VER
1 - 0
ASL
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
COS
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |