Análisis Cesena vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 2001 |
CES
1 - 3
ARZ
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASL
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |