Análisis Cesena vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2003 |
CES
1 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
ALZ
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |