Análisis Cesena vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
CES
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 2
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
CTT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 0
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |