Análisis Cesena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1992 |
CES
4 - 0
AVE
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
CES
42%
30%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
PAD
59%
25%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
34%
31%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
PIS
32%
29%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 1991 |
PIA
2 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
ANC
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |