Análisis Cesena vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1992 |
VNZ
3 - 1
CES
51%
27%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1992 |
CES
4 - 1
USC
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1992 |
CES
1 - 0
SAM
26%
30%
45%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +3 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1992 |
PAD
5 - 2
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
49%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | +1 |