Análisis Cesena vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
CES
42%
30%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2000 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 2
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2000 |
CES
1 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
CES
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 1
ACL
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
MOD
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 1
LEC
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |