Análisis Cesena vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 2
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2010 |
CES
2 - 3
EMP
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
CES
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
CTT
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
ABN
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |