Análisis Cesena vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
UDI
4 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 1
CES
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 3
FIO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
PAL
29%
27%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2011 |
LAZ
3 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |