Análisis Cesena vs Perugia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1969 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 2
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |