Análisis AC Este vs Villafranca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+47%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
ACE
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
ACE
3 - 1
POR
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACE
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
ACE
2 - 4
ROV
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Partidos
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SCA
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
OLG
3 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCC
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |