Análisis Mantova vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 2
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
FIA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
FRO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
44%
29%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |